Matz Sels
Nott'm Forest · GKP · £5.0m
31
xPts GW2–7
15.7
Start likelihood
72%
xPts / £m
3.13
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Saves · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
19
Saves
62
Bonus
50
Value
44
Minutes
38
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.5GW2@LIV
2.7GW3TOT
2.6GW4@AVL
2.9GW5COV
2.6GW6@CRY
2.5GW7ARS
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @LIV | 2.5 | 5.9 |
| 3 | TOT | 2.7 | 6.4 |
| 4 | @AVL | 2.6 | 6.2 |
| 5 | COV | 2.9 | 6.7 |
| 6 | @CRY | 2.6 | 6.2 |
| 7 | ARS | 2.5 | 6.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4ARS4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly