Matz Sels
Nott'm Forest · GKP · £5.0m
40
xPts GW1–6
15.9
Start likelihood
72%
xPts / £m
3.19
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Saves · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
29
Saves
65
Bonus
47
Value
53
Minutes
41
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.7GW1LEE
2.5GW2@LIV
2.7GW3TOT
2.5GW4@AVL
2.9GW5COV
2.6GW6@CRY
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE | 2.7 | 6.4 |
| 2 | @LIV | 2.5 | 6.0 |
| 3 | TOT | 2.7 | 6.4 |
| 4 | @AVL | 2.5 | 6.1 |
| 5 | COV | 2.9 | 6.7 |
| 6 | @CRY | 2.6 | 6.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE3LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly