0
xPts GW1–6
3.9
Start likelihood
17%
xPts / £m
0.86
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
0
Saves
0
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.8GW1@IPS
0.7GW2FUL
0.6GW3@BRE
0.6GW4ARS
0.6GW5@MCI
0.7GW6BHA
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @IPS | 0.8 | 3.1 |
| 2 | FUL | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| 3 | @BRE | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 4 | ARS | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 5 | @MCI | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 6 | BHA | 0.7 | 2.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS*2FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly