1
xPts GW3–8
5.2
Start likelihood
20%
xPts / £m
1.16
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.5GW3@BHA
1.0GW4NEW
0.9GW5CRY
0.7GW6@ARS
1.0GW7MUN
1.0GW8@SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | @BHA | 0.5 | 2.2 |
| 4 | NEW | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 5 | CRY | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 6 | @ARS | 0.7 | 3.1 |
| 7 | MUN | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 8 | @SUN | 1.0 | 3.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA*4NEW3CRY3ARS*5MUN3SUN*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly