16
xPts GW8–13
13.3
Start likelihood
69%
xPts / £m
2.72
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
6
Involvement
8
Floor
30
Ceiling
5
Value
19
Minutes
18
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW8@ARS
2.2GW9@NEW
2.6GW10COV
2.1GW11@BRE
2.2GW12LIV
2.1GW13@AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ARS | 2.2 | 4.8 |
| 9 | @NEW | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| 10 | COV | 2.6 | 5.8 |
| 11 | @BRE | 2.1 | 5.0 |
| 12 | LIV | 2.2 | 5.0 |
| 13 | @AVL | 2.1 | 4.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS*5NEW*4COV2BRE*4LIV4AVL*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly