2
xPts GW5–10
11.2
Start likelihood
58%
xPts / £m
2.28
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Minutes · Weakest: Floor
Attack
2
Involvement
2
Floor
1
Ceiling
2
Value
2
Minutes
5
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.4GW5IPS
1.9GW6@HUL
1.9GW7CHE
1.4GW8@ARS
1.7GW9@NEW
1.9GW10COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IPS | 2.4 | 5.7 |
| 6 | @HUL | 1.9 | 4.7 |
| 7 | CHE | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 8 | @ARS | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| 9 | @NEW | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 10 | COV | 1.9 | 4.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS1HUL*3CHE3ARS*5NEW*4COV2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-15 02:31 · snapshot 20260915T020500Z · recomputed hourly