9
xPts GW1–6
9.8
Start likelihood
34%
xPts / £m
1.63
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
21
Involvement
5
Floor
0
Ceiling
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.8GW1COV
1.6GW2@AVL
1.6GW3CHE
1.6GW4@SUN
1.5GW5@BHA
1.7GW6LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 2 | @AVL | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 3 | CHE | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 4 | @SUN | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 5 | @BHA | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| 6 | LEE | 1.7 | 4.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV1AVL*2CHE1SUN*1BHA*2LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-02 02:31 · snapshot 20260802T020500Z · recomputed hourly