1
xPts GW6–11
0.6
Start likelihood
2%
xPts / £m
0.14
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
0
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.1
GW6@COV
0.1
GW7AVL
0.1
GW8@CRY
0.1
GW9EVE
0.1
GW10@FUL
0.1
GW11ARS
AppearanceClean sheets
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @COV | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| 7 | AVL | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| 8 | @CRY | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| 9 | EVE | 0.1 | 1.0 |
| 10 | @FUL | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| 11 | ARS | 0.1 | 0.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV*3AVL2CRY*3EVE2FUL*3ARS4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-20 02:31 · snapshot 20260920T020500Z · recomputed hourly