Murillo Costa dos Santos
Nott'm Forest · DEF · £5.5m
19
xPts GW2–7
13.7
Start likelihood
64%
xPts / £m
2.50
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
23
Attack
11
DC floor
63
Bonus
35
Value
12
Minutes
42
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.8GW2@LIV
2.6GW3TOT
2.2GW4@AVL
2.8GW5COV
2.2GW6@CRY
2.1GW7ARS
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @LIV | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| 3 | TOT | 2.6 | 6.8 |
| 4 | @AVL | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 5 | COV | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| 6 | @CRY | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 7 | ARS | 2.1 | 5.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4ARS4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly