Nathan Collins
Brentford · DEF · £5.5m
58
xPts GW1–6
17.4
Start likelihood
76%
xPts / £m
3.17
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
48
Attack
70
DC floor
81
Bonus
47
Value
55
Minutes
70
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.2GW1TOT
2.8GW2@LEE
3.5GW3SUN
2.6GW4@BOU
2.8GW5CHE
2.6GW6@AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT | 3.2 | 7.7 |
| 2 | @LEE | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| 3 | SUN | 3.5 | 8.1 |
| 4 | @BOU | 2.6 | 6.7 |
| 5 | CHE | 2.8 | 7.0 |
| 6 | @AVL | 2.6 | 6.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
TOT2LEE*3SUN2BOU*4CHE3AVL*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly