Nathan Patterson

Everton · DEF · £4.5m

Mostly prior · 2 obs 90s

xPts GW1–6

5.1

Start likelihood

19%

xPts / £m

1.13

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

0.9

GW1CRY

0.7

GW2@BOU

0.8

GW3MUN

0.8

GW4@TOT

1.0

GW5IPS

0.9

GW6@HUL

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	CRY	0.9	3.5
2	@BOU	0.7	3.0
3	MUN	0.8	3.3
4	@TOT	0.8	3.2
5	IPS	1.0	3.8
6	@HUL	0.9	3.5

Fixture run · model difficulty

CRY3BOU*4MUN3TOT*4IPS1HUL*3

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Patterson

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly