37
xPts GW1–6
14.8
Start likelihood
56%
xPts / £m
2.48
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Value · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
42
Involvement
25
Floor
33
Ceiling
42
Value
58
Minutes
33
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.4GW1LIV
2.4GW2@TOT
2.6GW3BOU
2.4GW4@LEE
2.7GW5HUL
2.5GW6@COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV | 2.4 | 6.0 |
| 2 | @TOT | 2.4 | 5.9 |
| 3 | BOU | 2.6 | 6.4 |
| 4 | @LEE | 2.4 | 5.9 |
| 5 | HUL | 2.7 | 6.6 |
| 6 | @COV | 2.5 | 6.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV3TOT*3BOU2LEE*3HUL1COV*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly