49
xPts GW6–11
16.9
Start likelihood
80%
xPts / £m
3.76
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
23
Attack
48
DC floor
57
Bonus
57
Value
57
Minutes
43
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW6@ARS
3.0GW7MUN
3.1GW8@SUN
2.7GW9@BOU
3.4GW10TOT
2.5GW11@CHE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @ARS | 2.3 | 5.9 |
| 7 | MUN | 3.0 | 7.2 |
| 8 | @SUN | 3.1 | 7.3 |
| 9 | @BOU | 2.7 | 6.7 |
| 10 | TOT | 3.4 | 7.9 |
| 11 | @CHE | 2.5 | 6.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS*5MUN3SUN*3BOU*4TOT2CHE*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-02 02:31 · snapshot 20261002T020500Z · recomputed hourly