1
xPts GW1–6
8.6
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
1.91
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
2
Attack
0
DC floor
17
Bonus
2
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1@NFO
1.6GW2BRE
1.3GW3@BHA
1.4GW4NEW
1.5GW5CRY
1.1GW6@ARS
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NFO | 1.7 | 5.1 |
| 2 | BRE | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 3 | @BHA | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 4 | NEW | 1.4 | 4.7 |
| 5 | CRY | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 6 | @ARS | 1.1 | 4.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NFO*3BRE3BHA*4NEW3CRY3ARS*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-21 02:31 · snapshot 20260821T020500Z · recomputed hourly