37
xPts GW8–13
16.1
Start likelihood
84%
xPts / £m
2.92
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
24
Involvement
18
Floor
61
Ceiling
24
Value
35
Minutes
43
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.9GW8@CRY
2.8GW9EVE
2.8GW10@FUL
2.4GW11ARS
2.5GW12@BHA
2.6GW13MUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @CRY | 2.9 | 6.4 |
| 9 | EVE | 2.8 | 6.3 |
| 10 | @FUL | 2.8 | 6.1 |
| 11 | ARS | 2.4 | 5.4 |
| 12 | @BHA | 2.5 | 5.7 |
| 13 | MUN | 2.6 | 6.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CRY*3EVE2FUL*3ARS4BHA*4MUN3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly