21
xPts GW1–6
13.2
Start likelihood
55%
xPts / £m
2.39
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
5
Involvement
2
Floor
54
Ceiling
4
Value
16
Minutes
20
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW1BOU
2.2GW2@CRY
2.3GW3COV
2.1GW4@MUN
2.3GW5SUN
2.1GW6@LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU | 2.3 | 5.4 |
| 2 | @CRY | 2.2 | 5.1 |
| 3 | COV | 2.3 | 5.5 |
| 4 | @MUN | 2.1 | 5.0 |
| 5 | SUN | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| 6 | @LIV | 2.1 | 5.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU1CRY*2COV1MUN*2SUN1LIV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-02 02:31 · snapshot 20260802T020500Z · recomputed hourly