Nico O'Reilly
Man City · DEF · £6.5m
79
xPts GW1–6
21.9
Start likelihood
78%
xPts / £m
3.36
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
95
Attack
100
DC floor
12
Bonus
91
Value
69
Minutes
81
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.8GW1BOU
3.5GW2@CRY
4.3GW3COV
3.1GW4@MUN
4.3GW5SUN
2.8GW6@LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU | 3.8 | 9.2 |
| 2 | @CRY | 3.5 | 8.5 |
| 3 | COV | 4.3 | 9.9 |
| 4 | @MUN | 3.1 | 8.0 |
| 5 | SUN | 4.3 | 9.8 |
| 6 | @LIV | 2.8 | 7.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU1CRY*2COV1MUN*2SUN1LIV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly