29
xPts GW8–13
15.1
Start likelihood
58%
xPts / £m
2.44
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Attack
58
Involvement
42
Floor
4
Ceiling
46
Value
7
Minutes
1
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.7GW8EVE
2.2GW9@LIV
2.7GW10HUL
2.5GW11@NEW
2.4GW12MCI
2.6GW13@BRE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | EVE | 2.7 | 6.5 |
| 9 | @LIV | 2.2 | 5.5 |
| 10 | HUL | 2.7 | 6.5 |
| 11 | @NEW | 2.5 | 6.2 |
| 12 | MCI | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| 13 | @BRE | 2.6 | 6.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
EVE1LIV*3HUL1NEW*2MCI2BRE*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly