20
xPts GW1–6
12.6
Start likelihood
42%
xPts / £m
1.93
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
45
Involvement
25
Floor
0
Ceiling
36
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW1COV
2.0GW2@AVL
2.1GW3CHE
2.0GW4@SUN
1.9GW5@BHA
2.2GW6LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV | 2.3 | 6.0 |
| 2 | @AVL | 2.0 | 5.3 |
| 3 | CHE | 2.1 | 5.6 |
| 4 | @SUN | 2.0 | 5.3 |
| 5 | @BHA | 1.9 | 5.2 |
| 6 | LEE | 2.2 | 5.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV1AVL*2CHE1SUN*1BHA*2LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly