Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa · FWD · £8.0m
65
xPts GW1–6
20.9
Start likelihood
73%
xPts / £m
2.62
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Floor
Attack
75
Involvement
100
Floor
58
Ceiling
83
Value
67
Minutes
58
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.3GW1@BHA
2.8GW2ARS
3.7GW3@HUL
3.9GW4NFO
3.5GW5@TOT
3.9GW6BRE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsBonusOtherCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @BHA | 3.3 | 7.7 |
| 2 | ARS | 2.8 | 6.7 |
| 3 | @HUL | 3.7 | 8.4 |
| 4 | NFO | 3.9 | 8.9 |
| 5 | @TOT | 3.5 | 8.1 |
| 6 | BRE | 3.9 | 8.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA*4ARS4HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly