46
xPts GW8–13
17.3
Start likelihood
80%
xPts / £m
3.14
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Floor
Attack
57
Involvement
62
Floor
31
Ceiling
45
Value
43
Minutes
36
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.2GW8@COV
2.9GW9@AVL
3.2GW10NEW
2.5GW11@MCI
2.9GW12BOU
2.6GW13@TOT
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @COV | 3.2 | 7.0 |
| 9 | @AVL | 2.9 | 6.6 |
| 10 | NEW | 3.2 | 7.2 |
| 11 | @MCI | 2.5 | 5.7 |
| 12 | BOU | 2.9 | 6.8 |
| 13 | @TOT | 2.6 | 6.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV*3AVL*4NEW3MCI*5BOU3TOT*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly