7
xPts GW1–6
9.9
Start likelihood
45%
xPts / £m
1.79
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
8
Attack
23
DC floor
8
Bonus
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.9GW1LEE
1.3GW2@LIV
1.8GW3TOT
1.5GW4@AVL
1.9GW5COV
1.5GW6@CRY
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 2 | @LIV | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 3 | TOT | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 4 | @AVL | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| 5 | COV | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| 6 | @CRY | 1.5 | 4.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE3LIV*5TOT2AVL*4COV2CRY*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-13 02:31 · snapshot 20260813T020500Z · recomputed hourly