34
xPts GW5–10
15.6
Start likelihood
65%
xPts / £m
2.69
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Attack
45
Involvement
18
Floor
33
Ceiling
44
Value
23
Minutes
17
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.8GW5@FUL
2.7GW6TOT
2.5GW7@LEE
2.6GW8BOU
2.3GW9@CHE
2.7GW10AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | @FUL | 2.8 | 6.5 |
| 6 | TOT | 2.7 | 6.5 |
| 7 | @LEE | 2.5 | 6.0 |
| 8 | BOU | 2.6 | 6.3 |
| 9 | @CHE | 2.3 | 5.8 |
| 10 | AVL | 2.7 | 6.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
FUL*3TOT2LEE*3BOU2CHE*4AVL2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-16 02:31 · snapshot 20260916T020500Z · recomputed hourly