25
xPts GW6–11
14.5
Start likelihood
64%
xPts / £m
2.96
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Minutes
Clean sheets
65
Attack
18
DC floor
33
Bonus
20
Value
13
Minutes
8
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.5GW6BOU
2.4GW7@EVE
2.6GW8TOT
2.1GW9MUN
2.4GW10@SUN
2.6GW11LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BOU | 2.5 | 6.4 |
| 7 | @EVE | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| 8 | TOT | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| 9 | MUN | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 10 | @SUN | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| 11 | LEE | 2.6 | 6.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BOU2EVE*3TOT2MUN2SUN*3LEE2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-23 02:31 · snapshot 20260923T020500Z · recomputed hourly