Piero Hincapié

Arsenal · DEF · £5.5m

Mostly prior · 9.2 obs 90s

xPts GW1–6

17.2

Start likelihood

60%

xPts / £m

3.13

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Minutes

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

3.3

GW1COV

2.7

GW2@AVL

2.7

GW3CHE

3.0

GW4@SUN

2.6

GW5@BHA

3.0

GW6LEE

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	COV	3.3	7.6
2	@AVL	2.7	6.7
3	CHE	2.7	6.8
4	@SUN	3.0	7.1
5	@BHA	2.6	6.5
6	LEE	3.0	7.3

Fixture run · model difficulty

COV1AVL*2CHE1SUN*1BHA*2LEE1

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about Hincapié

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly