1
xPts GW8–13
10.3
Start likelihood
44%
xPts / £m
2.05
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Ceiling · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
2
Involvement
1
Floor
0
Ceiling
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.8GW8NEW
1.7GW9@TOT
1.7GW10LIV
1.8GW11@COV
1.8GW12HUL
1.6GW13@CHE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | NEW | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 9 | @TOT | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 10 | LIV | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| 11 | @COV | 1.8 | 4.7 |
| 12 | HUL | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| 13 | @CHE | 1.6 | 4.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NEW3TOT*3LIV4COV*3HUL2CHE*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly