23
xPts GW1–6
12.0
Start likelihood
60%
xPts / £m
2.66
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Attack
Clean sheets
33
Attack
2
DC floor
44
Bonus
23
Value
27
Minutes
30
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.6GW1@IPS
2.4GW2FUL
1.8GW3@BRE
1.8GW4ARS
1.4GW5@MCI
2.1GW6BHA
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @IPS | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| 2 | FUL | 2.4 | 6.3 |
| 3 | @BRE | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 4 | ARS | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 5 | @MCI | 1.4 | 4.6 |
| 6 | BHA | 2.1 | 5.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS*2FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly