61
xPts GW1–6
16.9
Start likelihood
57%
xPts / £m
3.08
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
97
Attack
78
DC floor
5
Bonus
66
Value
45
Minutes
23
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.2GW1COV
2.6GW2@AVL
2.7GW3CHE
2.9GW4@SUN
2.5GW5@BHA
3.0GW6LEE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV | 3.2 | 7.9 |
| 2 | @AVL | 2.6 | 6.9 |
| 3 | CHE | 2.7 | 7.1 |
| 4 | @SUN | 2.9 | 7.2 |
| 5 | @BHA | 2.5 | 6.7 |
| 6 | LEE | 3.0 | 7.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
COV1AVL*2CHE1SUN*1BHA*2LEE1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly