4
xPts GW8–13
9.8
Start likelihood
36%
xPts / £m
1.72
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Attack
Attack
7
Involvement
8
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW8BHA
1.6GW9ARS
1.7GW10@CRY
1.6GW11MUN
1.5GW12@EVE
1.8GW13SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | BHA | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 9 | ARS | 1.6 | 4.0 |
| 10 | @CRY | 1.7 | 4.4 |
| 11 | MUN | 1.6 | 4.3 |
| 12 | @EVE | 1.5 | 4.0 |
| 13 | SUN | 1.8 | 4.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA2ARS3CRY*2MUN2EVE*2SUN1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly