11
xPts GW1–6
10.4
Start likelihood
45%
xPts / £m
1.89
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
29
Attack
24
DC floor
8
Bonus
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.6GW1@NEW
1.9GW2NFO
2.0GW3@IPS
1.9GW4FUL
1.5GW5@BOU
1.5GW6MCI
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NEW | 1.6 | 5.0 |
| 2 | NFO | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 3 | @IPS | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 4 | FUL | 1.9 | 5.5 |
| 5 | @BOU | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 6 | MCI | 1.5 | 4.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NEW*3NFO1IPS*1FUL1BOU*3MCI3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-13 02:31 · snapshot 20260813T020500Z · recomputed hourly