40
xPts GW6–11
16.8
Start likelihood
79%
xPts / £m
3.11
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: Value
Clean sheets
73
Attack
46
DC floor
39
Bonus
62
Value
19
Minutes
35
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.6GW6MCI
2.6GW7@BRE
3.0GW8BHA
2.7GW9ARS
3.0GW10@CRY
3.0GW11MUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MCI | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| 7 | @BRE | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| 8 | BHA | 3.0 | 7.3 |
| 9 | ARS | 2.7 | 6.7 |
| 10 | @CRY | 3.0 | 7.2 |
| 11 | MUN | 3.0 | 7.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
MCI3BRE*3BHA2ARS3CRY*2MUN2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-23 02:31 · snapshot 20260923T020500Z · recomputed hourly