57
xPts GW8–13
18.4
Start likelihood
80%
xPts / £m
3.69
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
42
Involvement
36
Floor
76
Ceiling
52
Value
76
Minutes
46
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.1GW8@MUN
3.2GW9LEE
3.4GW10@IPS
3.1GW11NFO
2.9GW12@FUL
2.8GW13BHA
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @MUN | 3.1 | 6.9 |
| 9 | LEE | 3.2 | 7.1 |
| 10 | @IPS | 3.4 | 7.5 |
| 11 | NFO | 3.1 | 6.9 |
| 12 | @FUL | 2.9 | 6.4 |
| 13 | BHA | 2.8 | 6.5 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
MUN*4LEE2IPS*2NFO2FUL*3BHA3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly