46
xPts GW1–6
13.6
Start likelihood
59%
xPts / £m
3.02
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Minutes
Clean sheets
39
Attack
64
DC floor
27
Bonus
55
Value
41
Minutes
9
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW1CHE
2.4GW2@SUN
2.4GW3CRY
1.7GW4@LIV
2.1GW5MUN
2.8GW6@IPS
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE | 2.2 | 6.2 |
| 2 | @SUN | 2.4 | 6.5 |
| 3 | CRY | 2.4 | 6.5 |
| 4 | @LIV | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 5 | MUN | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 6 | @IPS | 2.8 | 7.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CHE3SUN*3CRY3LIV*5MUN3IPS*2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly