50
xPts GW6–11
17.9
Start likelihood
77%
xPts / £m
3.58
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
16
Involvement
14
Floor
91
Ceiling
28
Value
77
Minutes
54
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.2GW6@IPS
3.2GW7HUL
3.0GW8@COV
2.9GW9@AVL
3.0GW10NEW
2.6GW11@MCI
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | @IPS | 3.2 | 6.8 |
| 7 | HUL | 3.2 | 6.7 |
| 8 | @COV | 3.0 | 6.4 |
| 9 | @AVL | 2.9 | 6.3 |
| 10 | NEW | 3.0 | 6.5 |
| 11 | @MCI | 2.6 | 5.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS*2HUL2COV*3AVL*4NEW3MCI*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-25 02:31 · snapshot 20260925T020500Z · recomputed hourly