3
xPts GW3–8
8.9
Start likelihood
35%
xPts / £m
1.63
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
5
Involvement
16
Floor
0
Ceiling
1
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.5GW3AVL
1.4GW4@CHE
1.4GW5@NEW
1.6GW6EVE
1.5GW7@FUL
1.6GW8BRE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AVL | 1.5 | 4.4 |
| 4 | @CHE | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| 5 | @NEW | 1.4 | 4.1 |
| 6 | EVE | 1.6 | 4.4 |
| 7 | @FUL | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| 8 | BRE | 1.6 | 4.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL3CHE*5NEW*5EVE3FUL*4BRE3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly