29
xPts GW8–13
15.2
Start likelihood
68%
xPts / £m
2.76
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Minutes
Attack
35
Involvement
65
Floor
17
Ceiling
29
Value
24
Minutes
14
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.6GW8BRE
3.0GW9IPS
2.1GW10@ARS
2.4GW11BHA
2.5GW12@CRY
2.6GW13NFO
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | BRE | 2.6 | 6.1 |
| 9 | IPS | 3.0 | 6.9 |
| 10 | @ARS | 2.1 | 4.8 |
| 11 | BHA | 2.4 | 5.7 |
| 12 | @CRY | 2.5 | 5.8 |
| 13 | NFO | 2.6 | 6.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BRE3IPS2ARS*5BHA4CRY*4NFO3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly