1
xPts GW6–11
5.6
Start likelihood
26%
xPts / £m
1.27
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.1GW6NFO
0.9GW7@BHA
0.9GW8NEW
0.9GW9@TOT
0.8GW10LIV
0.9GW11@COV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | NFO | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| 7 | @BHA | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 8 | NEW | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 9 | @TOT | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 10 | LIV | 0.8 | 3.3 |
| 11 | @COV | 0.9 | 3.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NFO2BHA*4NEW3TOT*3LIV4COV*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-23 02:31 · snapshot 20260923T020500Z · recomputed hourly