1
xPts GW3–8
4.9
Start likelihood
19%
xPts / £m
1.08
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Clean sheets · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
5
Attack
0
DC floor
1
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
0.5GW3@HUL
0.8GW4NFO
0.9GW5@TOT
0.9GW6BRE
0.9GW7@NEW
0.8GW8MCI
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | @HUL | 0.5 | 2.4 |
| 4 | NFO | 0.8 | 3.1 |
| 5 | @TOT | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 6 | BRE | 0.9 | 3.6 |
| 7 | @NEW | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| 8 | MCI | 0.8 | 3.3 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3NEW*4MCI4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-09-03 02:31 · snapshot 20260903T020500Z · recomputed hourly