3
xPts GW1–6
9.2
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
2.04
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus
Clean sheets
9
Attack
0
DC floor
19
Bonus
5
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.1GW1@IPS
1.8GW2FUL
1.3GW3@BRE
1.3GW4ARS
1.1GW5@MCI
1.5GW6BHA
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @IPS | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 2 | FUL | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| 3 | @BRE | 1.3 | 4.5 |
| 4 | ARS | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 5 | @MCI | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 6 | BHA | 1.5 | 4.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
IPS*2FUL3BRE*4ARS5MCI*5BHA3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly