1
xPts GW2–7
6.8
Start likelihood
27%
xPts / £m
1.51
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: DC floor
Clean sheets
0
Attack
0
DC floor
14
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.2GW2BHA
0.9GW3@ARS
1.3GW4HUL
1.0GW5@BRE
1.2GW6BOU
1.1GW7@EVE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BHA | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 3 | @ARS | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 4 | HUL | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 5 | @BRE | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 6 | BOU | 1.2 | 4.1 |
| 7 | @EVE | 1.1 | 3.9 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA2ARS*5HUL1BRE*3BOU2EVE*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly