4
xPts GW8–13
11.2
Start likelihood
48%
xPts / £m
2.23
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Involvement · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
4
Involvement
12
Floor
4
Ceiling
1
Value
4
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.2GW8LEE
2.1GW9@COV
2.0GW10CHE
1.7GW11@AVL
1.7GW12TOT
1.4GW13@LIV
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LEE | 2.2 | 5.2 |
| 9 | @COV | 2.1 | 5.0 |
| 10 | CHE | 2.0 | 4.9 |
| 11 | @AVL | 1.7 | 4.3 |
| 12 | TOT | 1.7 | 4.5 |
| 13 | @LIV | 1.4 | 3.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LEE3COV*3CHE4AVL*4TOT3LIV*5
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly