3
xPts GW8–13
10.7
Start likelihood
41%
xPts / £m
1.95
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
6
Involvement
5
Floor
0
Ceiling
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.6GW8@ARS
1.9GW9@NEW
1.9GW10COV
1.7GW11@BRE
1.8GW12LIV
1.8GW13@AVL
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ARS | 1.6 | 4.0 |
| 9 | @NEW | 1.9 | 4.7 |
| 10 | COV | 1.9 | 4.9 |
| 11 | @BRE | 1.7 | 4.4 |
| 12 | LIV | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| 13 | @AVL | 1.8 | 4.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
ARS*5NEW*4COV2BRE*4LIV4AVL*4
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-18 02:31 · snapshot 20261018T020500Z · recomputed hourly