1
xPts GW1–6
7.9
Start likelihood
35%
xPts / £m
1.76
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
3
Attack
0
DC floor
11
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.2GW1@BHA
1.2GW2ARS
1.4GW3@HUL
1.5GW4NFO
1.3GW5@TOT
1.3GW6BRE
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @BHA | 1.2 | 4.3 |
| 2 | ARS | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| 3 | @HUL | 1.4 | 4.7 |
| 4 | NFO | 1.5 | 4.9 |
| 5 | @TOT | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 6 | BRE | 1.3 | 4.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA*4ARS4HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly