21
xPts GW1–6
10.8
Start likelihood
38%
xPts / £m
1.65
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Ceiling
Attack
45
Involvement
39
Floor
0
Ceiling
27
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.8GW1@NEW
1.9GW2NFO
2.0GW3@IPS
1.8GW4FUL
1.7GW5@BOU
1.6GW6MCI
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @NEW | 1.8 | 5.0 |
| 2 | NFO | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 3 | @IPS | 2.0 | 5.6 |
| 4 | FUL | 1.8 | 5.2 |
| 5 | @BOU | 1.7 | 4.8 |
| 6 | MCI | 1.6 | 4.7 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
NEW*3NFO1IPS*1FUL1BOU*3MCI3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-02 02:31 · snapshot 20260802T020500Z · recomputed hourly