25
xPts GW8–13
14.2
Start likelihood
58%
xPts / £m
2.19
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Ceiling · Weakest: Floor
Attack
48
Involvement
49
Floor
2
Ceiling
51
Value
2
Minutes
12
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.3GW8BHA
2.0GW9ARS
2.4GW10@CRY
2.5GW11MUN
2.4GW12@EVE
2.6GW13SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | BHA | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| 9 | ARS | 2.0 | 5.3 |
| 10 | @CRY | 2.4 | 6.3 |
| 11 | MUN | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| 12 | @EVE | 2.4 | 6.1 |
| 13 | SUN | 2.6 | 6.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA2ARS3CRY*2MUN2EVE*2SUN1
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-22 02:31 · snapshot 20261022T020500Z · recomputed hourly