6
xPts GW1–6
10.1
Start likelihood
46%
xPts / £m
2.01
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Saves
Clean sheets
12
Saves
6
Bonus
19
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.7GW1@BHA
1.6GW2ARS
1.8GW3@HUL
1.7GW4NFO
1.6GW5@TOT
1.6GW6BRE
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @BHA | 1.7 | 5.0 |
| 2 | ARS | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 3 | @HUL | 1.8 | 5.1 |
| 4 | NFO | 1.7 | 5.0 |
| 5 | @TOT | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 6 | BRE | 1.6 | 4.8 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BHA*4ARS4HUL*3NFO2TOT*3BRE3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-21 02:31 · snapshot 20260821T020500Z · recomputed hourly