29
xPts GW6–11
19.9
Start likelihood
89%
xPts / £m
3.97
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
20
Saves
85
Bonus
90
Value
45
Minutes
20
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
3.4GW6BRE
3.3GW7@NEW
3.1GW8MCI
3.5GW9FUL
3.0GW10@MUN
3.5GW11SUN
AppearanceClean sheetsSavesBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | BRE | 3.4 | 7.2 |
| 7 | @NEW | 3.3 | 7.0 |
| 8 | MCI | 3.1 | 6.7 |
| 9 | FUL | 3.5 | 7.4 |
| 10 | @MUN | 3.0 | 6.6 |
| 11 | SUN | 3.5 | 7.4 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
BRE3NEW*4MCI4FUL2MUN*4SUN2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-02 02:31 · snapshot 20261002T020500Z · recomputed hourly