João Pedro Loureiro da Costa

Brighton · DEF · £4.5m

Price-tier prior

xPts GW1–6

9.5

Start likelihood

41%

xPts / £m

2.10

Why this rating

sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests

Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Bonus

Clean sheets

Attack

DC floor

Bonus

Value

Minutes

Percentiles within position over the projection window.

Expected points by source

1.9

GW1AVL

1.3

GW2@CHE

1.7

GW3LEE

1.6

GW4@COV

1.3

GW5ARS

1.6

GW6@SUN

AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded

GW	Fixture	xPts	Ceiling
1	AVL	1.9	5.5
2	@CHE	1.3	4.5
3	LEE	1.7	5.1
4	@COV	1.6	5.0
5	ARS	1.3	4.4
6	@SUN	1.6	5.0

Fixture run · model difficulty

AVL2CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3

1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away

Ask Pal about da Costa

season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly