43
xPts GW8–13
16.3
Start likelihood
74%
xPts / £m
2.96
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Floor · Weakest: Involvement
Attack
39
Involvement
38
Floor
52
Ceiling
38
Value
40
Minutes
41
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.6GW8@LIV
2.6GW9@MCI
3.0GW10BRE
2.8GW11@HUL
2.8GW12NEW
2.6GW13@BOU
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCards
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @LIV | 2.6 | 6.0 |
| 9 | @MCI | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 10 | BRE | 3.0 | 6.8 |
| 11 | @HUL | 2.8 | 6.3 |
| 12 | NEW | 2.8 | 6.5 |
| 13 | @BOU | 2.6 | 6.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
LIV*4MCI*5BRE2HUL*3NEW2BOU*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-10-19 02:31 · snapshot 20261019T020500Z · recomputed hourly