Mats Wieffer
Brighton · DEF · £5.0m
55
xPts GW1–6
15.2
Start likelihood
63%
xPts / £m
3.05
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Minutes
Clean sheets
56
Attack
62
DC floor
48
Bonus
95
Value
42
Minutes
41
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.8GW1AVL
2.1GW2@CHE
2.8GW3LEE
2.7GW4@COV
2.2GW5ARS
2.7GW6@SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL | 2.8 | 7.2 |
| 2 | @CHE | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 3 | LEE | 2.8 | 7.3 |
| 4 | @COV | 2.7 | 7.1 |
| 5 | ARS | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| 6 | @SUN | 2.7 | 7.0 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL2CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly