54
xPts GW2–7
15.3
Start likelihood
63%
xPts / £m
3.06
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Bonus · Weakest: Value
Clean sheets
56
Attack
58
DC floor
47
Bonus
91
Value
44
Minutes
44
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.1GW2@CHE
2.8GW3LEE
2.8GW4@COV
2.1GW5ARS
2.7GW6@SUN
2.7GW7CRY
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | @CHE | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 3 | LEE | 2.8 | 7.3 |
| 4 | @COV | 2.8 | 7.1 |
| 5 | ARS | 2.1 | 6.0 |
| 6 | @SUN | 2.7 | 7.0 |
| 7 | CRY | 2.7 | 7.1 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3CRY2
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-08-24 02:32 · snapshot 20260824T020500Z · recomputed hourly