18
xPts GW1–6
10.9
Start likelihood
42%
xPts / £m
2.42
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: Attack · Weakest: Value
Clean sheets
17
Attack
55
DC floor
0
Bonus
12
Value
5
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
2.0GW1AVL
1.6GW2@CHE
2.0GW3LEE
1.9GW4@COV
1.5GW5ARS
1.9GW6@SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 2 | @CHE | 1.6 | 5.0 |
| 3 | LEE | 2.0 | 5.8 |
| 4 | @COV | 1.9 | 5.6 |
| 5 | ARS | 1.5 | 4.8 |
| 6 | @SUN | 1.9 | 5.6 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL2CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly