1
xPts GW1–6
7.0
Start likelihood
28%
xPts / £m
1.56
Why this rating
sub-scores are percentiles (0-100) within position over the projection window; the headline rating is a weighted blend with weights fitted against realized points in backtests
Strongest: DC floor · Weakest: Clean sheets
Clean sheets
3
Attack
0
DC floor
11
Bonus
0
Value
0
Minutes
0
Percentiles within position over the projection window.
Expected points by source
1.3GW1AVL
1.0GW2@CHE
1.2GW3LEE
1.2GW4@COV
1.0GW5ARS
1.3GW6@SUN
AppearanceGoalsAssistsDef. contributionClean sheetsBonusCardsConceded
| GW | Fixture | xPts | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| 2 | @CHE | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 3 | LEE | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| 4 | @COV | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| 5 | ARS | 1.0 | 3.7 |
| 6 | @SUN | 1.3 | 4.2 |
Fixture run · model difficulty
AVL2CHE*4LEE2COV*3ARS4SUN*3
1 easiest – 5 hardest · * = away
season 2026-27 · computed 2026-07-31 13:54 · snapshot 20260731T135221Z · recomputed hourly